CBOT Soybeans (Nov 2024) Plummet to Four-Year Low Amid Bearish Technical Outlook

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๐‚๐๐Ž๐“ ๐’๐จ๐ฒ๐›๐ž๐š๐ง๐ฌ (๐๐จ๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’) ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐…๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ-๐˜๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐‹๐จ๐ฐ ๐€๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐Ž๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐ค

๐Ÿ’น๐Ÿ’น๐Ÿ’น๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐ก๐ข๐œ๐š๐ ๐จ ๐๐จ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ž (๐‚๐๐Ž๐“) ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฒ๐›๐ž๐š๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ž๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ ๐ข๐ง ๐ง๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐”๐’ ๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐. ๐Ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ญ, ๐‚๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฒ๐›๐ž๐š๐ง ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ (๐๐จ๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’) ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐ฆ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ข๐ง ๐š๐ง ๐›๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก ๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐๐ž๐œ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ž๐š๐ค๐ž๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฆ.

๐’๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐‹๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ: The primary support level is around $10.38 per bushel, as indicated by the recent low.
๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐‹๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ:Immediate resistance is noted at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, around $11.21 per bushel, followed by stronger resistance at $11.70 per bushel, near the 28.2% Fibonacci level.

๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐Œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐€๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฌ (๐„๐Œ๐€):
9-week EMA: 11.14, acting as a dynamic resistance level.
50-week EMA: 11.89, providing a broader perspective of market trends and acting as a long-term resistance.

๐‘๐ž๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ž๐ฑ (๐‘๐’๐ˆ):
The RSI is currently at 26.75, indicating that the market is in the oversold territory. This suggests a potential for a price reversal or consolidation in the near term.

๐‚๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐€๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง:
The price is currently trading below both the 9-week and 50-week EMAs, which indicates a bearish trend.
The market has recently breached the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, confirming the bearish sentiment.

๐๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž: The price performance of CBOT Soybean Futures has been consistently declining over various periods:
Month-to-date: ๐Ÿ”ป-6%
Three months: ๐Ÿ”ป-12%
Six months: ๐Ÿ”ป-13%
One year: ๐Ÿ”ป-17%

๐…๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐Ž๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐ค:
โ–ถGiven the current bearish momentum and the oversold condition indicated by the RSI, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound or consolidation around the current levels.
โ–ถTraders should watch for any price action around the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (11.21) for potential resistance and near-term selling opportunities.
โ–ถIf the price continues to decline, the support at 10.39 will be crucial. A break below this level could lead to further downside towards the psychological level of 10.00.
โ–ถOn the upside, a sustained move above the 9-week EMA (11.14) and the 23.6% Fibonacci level could signal the beginning of a bullish correction towards the 50-week EMA (11.89).

๐‚๐จ๐ง๐œ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง: The CBOT Soybean Futures (Nov 2024) chart shows a bearish trend with the potential for a short-term rebound. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, alongside the RSI and EMA indicators, to make informed trading decisions.